Russia Losing Aircraft and Helicopters Faster Than It Can Replenish, UK Intelligence Report

Ukrainian forces shot down a Su-35 aircraft in Kharkiv region. Photo Ukrainian MoD.

In the Ukraine war, Russia has been losing aircraft faster than it can replace them due to poor training of air forces, the U.K. Defense Ministry has said.

In its daily intelligence update on the Ukraine war on Monday, the ministry noted that on November 3, the commander-in-chief of Ukraine’s armed forces, Valeriy Zaluzhnyi said Russia had lost over twice the number of aircraft in Ukraine than it had in the nine-year Soviet-Afghan War—278 aircraft lost in Ukraine compared to 119 in Afghanistan.

“Whilst we cannot independently verify these figures, Russia’s continued lack of air superiority is likely exacerbated by poor training, loss of experienced crews, and heightened risks of conducting close air support in dense air defence zones,” said the U.K. Defense Ministry.

“This is unlikely to change in the next few months. Russia’s aircraft losses likely significantly outstrip their capacity to manufacture new airframes. The time required for the training of competent pilots further reduces Russia’s ability to regenerate combat air capability.”

Ukraine’s Defense Ministry tweeted on Sunday that between February 24 and November 6, Russia had lost 277 military jets and 1,465 drones. It added that around 75,930 Russian military personnel had died in the fighting, while 2,625 tanks and 5,611 armored combat vehicles had been destroyed or seized.

In September, Russia said that nearly 6,000 of its troops had died in the Ukraine war. That same month, the U.K. estimated this number to be 25,000 but that figure rose to 80,000 when it included wounded troops and military captured by Ukraine.

Since Russian invaded its neighbor on February 24, it has made some progress and the east and the south of the country but has suffered recent setbacks from Ukrainian counteroffensives in occupied territories of Kherson in the south and Kharkiv in the east. Russia took these territories from Ukraine in the early days of the war. The West, including the U.S., U.K. and the EU, have been supplying Ukraine with weapons that proved very effective during the war.

Over the last month, Russia has been conducting airstrikes on Ukraine’s critical infrastructure, leaving more than 4.5 million Ukrainians without electricity, many of them in the Kyiv region, said President Volodymyr Zelensky in a televised address on Thursday night. That amounts to more than 10 percent of Ukraine’s pre-war population. Zelensky added that the Russian onslaught had “seriously damaged” around 40 percent of Ukraine’s energy infrastructure.

On Sunday, the U.K. Defense Ministry said that Russia was firing military commanders to deflect blame for failures in Ukraine from the country’s leadership. The ministry noted that in late October, Colonel General Alexander Lapin had reportedly been fired from his role as commander of Russia’s Central Military District, which had been “widely criticized for poor performance on the battlefield.” The Russian state news agency Tass later confirmed Lapin was no longer in his post, per The New York Times.

© 2022, GDC. © GDC and Unauthorized use and/or duplication of this material without express and written permission from this site’s author and/or owner is strictly prohibited. Excerpts and links may be used, provided that full and clear credit is given to with appropriate and specific direction to the original content.

Be the first to comment

Leave a Reply

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.